Understanding the Risks of Underfunded Pension Plans

For generations, many workers have viewed pensions as one of the most secure forms of retirement income—an employer-backed promise of monthly payments for life. But when pension plans become underfunded, the rules surrounding those benefits can change—sometimes dramatically. While pensions are not pyramid schemes, severely underfunded plans can begin to exhibit some uncomfortable similarities that raise important questions about how these systems function.

At the core of the concern is a simple financial reality: some pension plans do not currently hold enough assets to meet the benefits they have promised for the future. When this happens, the system can begin to show signs of strain. Retirees may face limitations on payout options, employers may be required to increase contributions, and in more extreme cases benefits may be reduced or transferred to government insurance programs designed to protect pension participants.

Understanding how pension funding works, and what happens when a plan becomes underfunded, is critical for retirement planning.

What Is an Underfunded Pension Plan?

A Defined-Benefit Pension Plan promises workers a specific monthly income in retirement, typically based on salary and years of service. To fund these benefits, employers and sometimes employees contribute money to a pension trust, which is then invested.

The health of a pension plan is measured by its funded ratio, which compares the plan’s assets to the value of its promised future benefits.

  • A funded ratio of 100% or higher means the plan has enough assets to cover expected obligations.

  • A funded ratio below 100% means the plan is underfunded.

Across the United States, underfunding remains a widespread issue—particularly in the public sector. For example, state pension systems collectively reported about $1.27 trillion in unfunded liabilities in recent years, reflecting the gap between promised benefits and available assets.

Even with improvements in investment markets, the national average funded ratio for public pensions remains around 80% or lower, leaving many systems with substantial funding gaps.

Why Pension Plans Become Underfunded

There are several reasons pensions fall into an underfunded position:

1. Investment Performance

Pension funds rely heavily on investment returns. If markets perform poorly for several years, the plan’s assets may fail to keep pace with liabilities.

2. Insufficient Contributions

Employers sometimes undercontribute to pension plans, especially during fiscal stress or economic downturns.

3. Increasing Life Expectancy

As retirees live longer, pension systems must pay benefits for more years than originally projected.

4. Overly Optimistic Assumptions

Some pension plans assume long-term investment returns that may not materialize, which can mask underlying funding problems.

Is It Fair to Compare Pensions to a Pyramid?

A pyramid scheme relies on new participants to fund payouts to earlier participants. Pension systems are fundamentally different: they are legally structured retirement programs governed by federal and state regulations.

However, critics sometimes draw comparisons because pension plans depend on ongoing contributions and investment returns to sustain benefit payments.

The key difference is that pension plans are regulated financial institutions, often backed by government oversight and insurance programs.

In the private sector, the federal government created the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC) to insure many defined-benefit pensions. The agency protects retirement benefits for roughly 30 million Americans across more than 23,000 pension plans.

If an employer’s pension plan fails, the PBGC may step in to continue payments—although benefits may be capped or reduced depending on the situation.

What Happens When a Pension Plan Is Underfunded?

When a pension becomes underfunded, several legal and regulatory mechanisms come into play.

One of the most important laws governing pension funding is the Pension Protection Act of 2006, which created stricter rules to prevent pension plans from drifting into severe underfunding.

Under these rules, plans that fall below certain funding thresholds face restrictions.

For example:

  • Underfunded plans may be restricted from paying lump-sum distributions to participants.

  • Plans may be prohibited from increasing benefits until their funding improves.

  • Employers may be required to make additional contributions to restore funding levels.

These restrictions were designed to protect remaining plan assets and ensure that pensions remain solvent.

Why Lump-Sum Options Often Disappear

One of the most noticeable consequences of underfunding is the disappearance of lump-sum pension payouts.

Many retirees prefer lump sums because they allow greater flexibility for:

  • Rolling assets into an IRA

  • Controlling investment strategy

  • Leaving assets to heirs

However, if a pension plan is significantly underfunded, federal law may prohibit the plan from offering lump-sum distributions. Instead, participants may only receive monthly annuity payments.

This is because lump sums require the plan to distribute large amounts of cash immediately, which could further weaken an already stressed pension fund.

Multiemployer Pension Plans and the Risk of Benefit Reductions

Underfunding is particularly severe in multiemployer pension plans, which cover workers across multiple companies in industries such as trucking, construction, and manufacturing.

Approximately 1 million workers and retirees participate in multiemployer plans that are projected to have difficulty paying full benefits in the future.

In some cases, pension reform laws have even allowed troubled plans to reduce future benefits as a way to avoid insolvency. For example, the Multiemployer Pension Reform Act of 2014 permits certain severely underfunded multiemployer pension plans to apply for approval to suspend or reduce benefits if doing so is necessary to prevent the plan from running out of money entirely.

This reality has fueled debate among policymakers about how best to stabilize struggling pension systems. Some argue that allowing benefit reductions can preserve at least part of retirees’ income and prevent total plan collapse, while others believe it unfairly shifts the burden onto workers who relied on those promised benefits. The debate has led to ongoing discussions about federal pension assistance and other reforms designed to strengthen the long-term stability of retirement systems.

The Role of Government Pension Insurance

When a pension plan fails entirely, the PBGC may assume responsibility for paying benefits.

However, it is important to understand that PBGC coverage does not guarantee the full pension amount originally promised. Benefits are subject to limits set by federal law.

In addition, if retirees were previously overpaid, future payments can be reduced to correct the difference.

This means that retirees relying heavily on a pension may still face financial adjustments if their plan becomes insolvent.

What This Means for Retirement Planning

For financial advisors, underfunded pensions highlight an important lesson: retirement planning should never rely entirely on a single income source.

When working with clients who expect pension income, advisors often consider several key factors:

Diversification of Retirement Income

Retirement income ideally includes a combination of:

  • Pension benefits

  • Social Security

  • Personal savings

  • Investment accounts

Evaluating Lump-Sum Options

If a lump sum is available, clients may need to decide whether rolling the pension into an IRA provides more flexibility.

Monitoring Pension Health

Advisors can review a pension’s funded status and financial reports to assess potential risk.

Stress Testing Retirement Plans

Even small pension reductions can significantly affect long-term retirement income projections.

The Bottom Line

Pensions are not pyramid schemes, but underfunded pension systems can create real financial risks for retirees.

Across the United States, trillions of dollars in pension obligations remain underfunded, forcing policymakers, employers, and retirees to confront difficult choices about how these promises will ultimately be fulfilled.

For retirees and pre-retirees alike, the key takeaway is simple:

A pension should be viewed as one piece of a broader retirement strategy—not the entire foundation.

For more information on optimizing retirement income, check out the Client First Capital article, “The Retirement Paycheck: How Income Really Works After Work.”

With thoughtful planning, diversified income sources, and a clear understanding of pension funding risks, retirees can protect their financial future even in an uncertain pension landscape.

Cheri Turner, Financial Advisor

Cheri brings over 20 years of corporate and small business experience to her position as an Associate Advisor at Client First Capital. Prior to joining Client First Capital, Cheri worked as the Chief Operations Officer and Financial Controller at her family’s real estate management business.

Next
Next

Prediction Markets: Forecasting the Future—Or Just Another Form of Speculation?